Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 13 2024

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Depression Seven, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. 
The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical 
Cyclone Francine, located inland over northeastern Arkansas.

Northern Leeward Islands (AL94):
Surface observations indicate a small area of low pressure is 
located over the northern Leeward Islands. The system continues to 
produce showers and thunderstorms this morning, but they have not 
become any better organized. Environmental conditions, including the 
proximity of dry air, do not favor development of this system while 
it moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph. Regardless of 
development, locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible 
across the northern Leeward Islands today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Offshore the Southeastern U.S.:
A non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a frontal 
boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline 
this weekend. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development 
is possible during the early part of next week while the system 
moves generally northwestward toward the coast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

$$
Forecaster Kelly