Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Depression Cristobal, located about 600 miles 
west of the Azores.

Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in 
association with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of 
the Lesser Antilles. This system will likely become a short-lived 
tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves westward 
across the tropical Atlantic. However, by late Friday, the system is 
expected to move into a region of strong upper-level winds and dry 
air, which should end its opportunity to develop. Interests in the 
Lesser Antilles should monitor the progress of this system as gusty 
winds and areas of heavy rain are possible Friday night and 
Saturday, regardless of development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
A tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the 
Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally 
conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could 
form late this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or 
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

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Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Cristobal are issued under 
WMO header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Cristobal are issued 
under WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

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Forecaster Cangialosi/Adams