Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located along a tropical wave a few hundred 
miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce 
showers and thunderstorms displaced southwest of its center. This 
activity has changed little in organization this evening, but 
environmental conditions remain somewhat favorable for gradual 
development over the next couple of days. A tropical depression is 
likely to form over the next day or two as the system moves westward 
to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical 
Atlantic, though environmental conditions are forecast to become 
less favorable for development by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of 
Bermuda is moving quickly north-northeastward at 20 to 25 mph. The 
system's circulation remains elongated and its associated shower and 
thunderstorm activity is also elongated. Environmental conditions 
are becoming more hostile over the system, and its chances for 
development are decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

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Forecaster Papin